--- product_id: 25260564 title: "Fluke: The Math and Myth of Coincidence" brand: "joseph mazur" price: "AR$104806" currency: ARS in_stock: true reviews_count: 10 url: https://www.desertcart.com.ar/products/25260564-fluke-the-math-and-myth-of-coincidence store_origin: AR region: Argentina --- # Fluke: The Math and Myth of Coincidence **Brand:** joseph mazur **Price:** AR$104806 **Availability:** ✅ In Stock ## Quick Answers - **What is this?** Fluke: The Math and Myth of Coincidence by joseph mazur - **How much does it cost?** AR$104806 with free shipping - **Is it available?** Yes, in stock and ready to ship - **Where can I buy it?** [www.desertcart.com.ar](https://www.desertcart.com.ar/products/25260564-fluke-the-math-and-myth-of-coincidence) ## Best For - joseph mazur enthusiasts ## Why This Product - Trusted joseph mazur brand quality - Free international shipping included - Worldwide delivery with tracking - 15-day hassle-free returns ## Description Fluke: The Math and Myth of Coincidence ## Images ![Fluke: The Math and Myth of Coincidence - Image 1](https://m.media-amazon.com/images/I/41wjXphD7RL.jpg) ## Customer Reviews ### ⭐⭐⭐ Parts of it are interesting *by D***S on Reviewed in the United States on June 28, 2016* The “math and myth" subtitle is intriguing, but the book is somewhat disappointing. One part discusses the basic math of probability theory, and another part covers probability-related topics (DNA forensics, chance scientific discoveries, ESP experiments, stock markets), but all this has been discussed in many other "popular science" books. The "myth" part discusses Sir Gawain and the Green Knight and other fiction, but the author's point is unclear to me: we all know that fiction often relies on coincidences or other unlikely events.What part is interesting to me? Well the standard rationalist explanation of coincidences is simply that there are gazillions of possible coincides that might happen, so even if each has only a 1-in-a-gazillion probability, then some will happen "purely by chance". This is explained at length in the book  The Improbability Principle: Why Coincidences, Miracles, and Rare Events Happen Every Day  by an academic statistician. However, such books rely on very simple "small universe of possibilities" models, such as the birthday paradox, which are quite different from what we perceive as remarkable coincidences in everyday life. To me, the interesting and novel part (about 50 small pages) of this book is the following. In chapter 2 the author devises 10 classes of coincidences -- for instance "chance meetings" -- and gives a true historical story to fit each class -- for instance "In Miami a woman got into a taxi, and recognized the driver as her taxi driver from Chicago on one occasion 3 years earlier". Then in chapter 10 he tries to estimate the probability of the coincidence in the story. This is what is actually needed to justify the rationalist explanation. So I applaud the attempt. But -- as the author acknowledges -- it is hard to do. In the story of the taxi driver, the chance (according to the author's data -- he gets the calculation wrong) is very roughly 1 in 2.5 million. But this is the chance “per event” where an event is (very roughly) “someone gets a taxi in some big city away from their big home city”. Now I’m not sure how often this event happens, but with more than 200,000 U.S. taxi drivers I guess the event happens several million times per week, in which case this coincidence will happen several times a month to some passenger. The key point, which the author fails to emphasize, is that one needs to think very carefully about all the other roughly similar coincidences which might have happened. ### ⭐⭐ Not objective enough *by A***3 on Reviewed in the United States on April 23, 2016* I read a good review of this book in the WSJ and thought it sounded interesting. I was disappointed. First, there are errors. At location 746 of the kindle edition, he has two formulas with a + instead of an x. In table 6.1, for 900,000 flips, the result In the far right column drops a zero, making it 0.003 instead of 0.0003. He discusses this in his text, and his table makes his conclusion to appear ten times what it actually is.So that's sloppy, but forgivable. My main problem is that he is flying by the seat of his pants, then applying numbers to his guesses to make them seem scientific. How many people in London a shopping for a specific book on any given day? Who knows? I do not need to disagree with his estimate to recognize that it is a wild guess. And if you string a bunch of wild guesses together, you have something that has no meaning, even if you have assigned a number to each guess. His conclusions then offered no real insight you could rely on. It was more like an academic exercise that some people might find interesting, but I found disappointing.I still went on, until his chapter on DNA evidence. He makes the point that DNA evidence is not as iron clad as generally assumed, and he discusses various miscarriages of justice with a decided slant in favor of the accused. Again, I don't necessarily disagree. But this a) is getting a bit off topic for the book and b) seemed to me to be, again, mostly opinion. So I stopped reading. Maybe the rest of the book was great. If so, somebody please let me know. ### ⭐⭐⭐ I have to wonder if some of the reviewers actually read the book. *by K***Y on Reviewed in the United States on May 21, 2016* I have to wonder if some of the reviewers actually read the book. Fluke contains four distinct sections: One: describe a series of specific coincidences; Two: describe the basic math behind calculating probability; Three: deconstruct each of the coincidences in section One and attempt to calculate the actual probability of their occurrence, using the tools in section Two; and Four: a wildly disconnected set of meanderings that doesn't seem to add value anywhere. Sections One through Three would be good enough to stand on their own if it weren't that they contain an uncomfortable number of basic math errors and unsupported assumptions. Section Four seems to be there only to add volume. Professor Mazur is a startlingly competent teacher and mathematician, but Fluke makes me think he was short of cash and needed to pump out a volume to pay some bills. --- ## Why Shop on Desertcart? - 🛒 **Trusted by 1.3+ Million Shoppers** — Serving international shoppers since 2016 - 🌍 **Shop Globally** — Access 737+ million products across 21 categories - 💰 **No Hidden Fees** — All customs, duties, and taxes included in the price - 🔄 **15-Day Free Returns** — Hassle-free returns (30 days for PRO members) - 🔒 **Secure Payments** — Trusted payment options with buyer protection - ⭐ **TrustPilot Rated 4.5/5** — Based on 8,000+ happy customer reviews **Shop now:** [https://www.desertcart.com.ar/products/25260564-fluke-the-math-and-myth-of-coincidence](https://www.desertcart.com.ar/products/25260564-fluke-the-math-and-myth-of-coincidence) --- *Product available on Desertcart Argentina* *Store origin: AR* *Last updated: 2026-10-01*